Switch: at what point is it in its life cycle? Nintendo answers

The arrival of Switch model OLED, which we have reviewed, instead of simplifying the reading of the life cycle of the hybrid Nintendo has complicated it. Expectations, in fact, were oriented towards the release of a Switch “Pro” in all respects coinciding with the characteristics of Switch OLED, but with a substantial difference: namely the adoption of a new chip with DLSS support instead of the current (and now dated) Tegra X1, and therefore a leap forward in performance.

Recensione Nintendo Switch OLED: un solido aggiornamento per (quasi) tutti

Games 08 Nov

Things, as we know, went differently: Switch OLED is a model that improves various aspects of the original, but substantially on a technical level we are in front of the same machine. Nothing mid-gen, therefore, and that is the solution that theoretically could have lengthened the life cycle of Switch. So right now it’s easier to think of a new console closer than expected. Or maybe not.

In this sense, an important indication is given directly to us by the president of Nintendo Shuntaro Furukawa . During the question and answer session with investors on the sidelines of the presentation of the financial results for the last quarter, in fact, Furukawa also answered a question among others which concerned plans for new hardware :

At the moment we are not able to comment on the next game system. We are now entering the fifth year since the launch of the Nintendo Switch and the overall hardware sales have exceeded 90 million units. We believe the system is in the middle of its life cycle . The launch of the Nintendo Switch OLED model has also contributed to the continuity of the sales flow and we are now offering consumers three Nintendo Switch models to match their play and lifestyle as well as a wide range of software.

With this, we believe the foundations have been laid for growth that exceeds what we previously considered a conventional hardware lifecycle. As for the next game system , we are considering a lot of different things, but currently there is no nothing we can share neither about the nature of the project nor about the timing.

Almost five years after its launch, therefore, Nintendo considers the Switch to be half of its life cycle. A surprising estimate at first, and that potentially moves the arrival of a new generation very far. But we must also consider that the end of the life cycle of a console does not coincide with the launch of the next model, nor with the announcement of the same: Switch, like 3DS, will coexist for a few years on the market alongside the next hardware . Either way, if Nintendo believes that half has been hit today, then that means we have to imagine the Switch still around for nearly five years, right up until the end 2026 or start 2027.

However, we can hardly imagine that the Kyoto giant will not release a new console by 2024 (and perhaps even before): in this case it is not official statements, but our assumptions based on the arguments already expressed and on the fact that the gap between what was Switch at launch in 2017 in relation to the videogame market and what will be 7 years later would risk widen too much.

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